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  • Writer's pictureJoanne Jacobs

Japan uses more adult diapers than baby diapers


A Japanese company will stop making diapers for babies and shift production to adult diapers, reports the BBC. Adult diapers have been a larger and growing market for a decade.


The birth rate has fallen to 1.26 for the average woman, well below the replacement rate of 2.1. As a result, Japan now has one of the world's oldest populations: 11.6 percent are 14 and young while 29 percent are 65 or older.


In South Korea, the number of births per woman is projected to fall from .72 children per woman to .68 this year.


Technology could help reverse the global fertility collapse, argues James Pethokoukis on Faster, Please.


Pro-natal policies such as subsidized child care and child allowances aren't likely to reverse the "Mother of All Demographic Trends," he writes. But higher productivity driven by AI could reduce work hours, allowing for more leisure and family time.

What if tech-driven economic growth makes us so much richer that we simply choose to work less? Maybe a lot less. With all that extra time and all those extra resources, maybe we would choose to devote more of both to having more kids. As it is, the rich seems to be having more kids than the poor. What if we all were far wealthier than even the top 1 percent are today?

According to a study in The Lancet, 76 percent of countries will have shrinking populations by 2050, 97 percent by 2100. That will "reconfigure the global economy" and "necessitate reorganizing societies," said Natalia Bhattacharjee, co-author of the study.


There will be fewer people to support elders, and "an entirely different societal vibe," writes Pethokoukis, the father of seven. He quotes The Children of Men which imagines a future of mass infertility in which no children have been born for 18 years. (The book by P.D. James was released as a movie.) “As the sound of the playgrounds faded, the despair set in. Very odd what happens in a world without children's voices.”


One group in our society is having babies: The birth rate is much higher for religious believers than for secular people, notes Pethokoukis. If there is no overall value shift toward children, then a higher percentage of the population will come from religious families.


I became a grandmother in December. My husband welcomed his fifth grandchild this week. Our family is doing its part.

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JK Brown
JK Brown
Mar 30

The fact of the matter is what people consider the "normal" past was an anomaly driven by the expansion of modernity around the world. Modernity with demographic control driven by fertility control instead of mortality.


"As Malthus argued, the only force strong enough to stand against the biological desire to mate and have children, was the even stronger social desire to live comfortably and avoid poverty."
--Invention of the Modern World

The increasingly successful war against infectious diseases had brought about during the nineteen-forties a great increase in the number of old people, a new interest in pension plans, and—since the tendency of business concerns to lay off employees at sixty-five or even sixty was still gaining headway—an acute question…

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superdestroyer
Mar 30

There are several recent books on this issue with their own flaws.


Family Unfriendly: How Our Culture Made Raising Kids Much Harder Than It Needs to Be by Tim Carney. The flaw being that is is a luxury belief book for the right.


Get Married: Why Americans Must Defy the Elites, Forge Strong Families, and Save Civilization by Brad wilcox.


The Two-Parent Privilege: How Americans Stopped Getting Married and Started Falling Behind by Melissa S. Kearney. The issue with marriage is the large number of people who have too many personality flaws to get married.


Of Boys and Men: Why the Modern Male Is Struggling, Why It Matters, and What to Do about It By Richard Reeves. The one wh…


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