The robots are coming to take our jobs, but which jobs will the robots take? Derek Thompson looks at the future of automation in The Atlantic.
. . . in the past 30 years, software and robots have thrived at replacing a particular kind of occupation: the average-wage, middle-skill, routine-heavy worker, especially in manufacturing and office admin.
Nearly half of American jobs today could be automated in “a decade or two,” according to a new paper discussed in The Economist. That includes retail, transportation, cashiers and counter clerks. (They’ll go even faster if the minimum wage is raised significantly.”
The 10 jobs on the chart have a 99-percent likelihood of being replaced by machines and software, writes Thompson. “They are mostly routine-based jobs (telemarketing, sewing) and work that can be solved by smart algorithms (tax preparation, data entry keyers, and insurance underwriters).”
The least vulnerable to automation are managers and health care and public safety workers.
Thompson concludes: ”Machines are better at rules and routines; people are better at directing and diagnosing. But it doesn’t have to stay that way.”
For a cheerier view of the future, check out Are Robots Taking Our Jobs or Making Our Jobs?
Volokh’s Kenneth Anderson sees a future in skilled manual labor as in the “maker” movement.
Computer science majors get the most job offers, reports Forbes. Economics, accounting and engineering majors also are likely to have a job offer before they graduate.