Wrong numbers

The Census Bureau’s high school completion numbers are misleading, writes Greg Forster on Education Gadfly.

The new bogus figures claim that 85 percent of all U.S. adults (those over 24) and 80 percent of black adults have completed high school. These numbers are hailed as all-time highs by the Census Bureau’s press release. For those more interested in the current graduation rate, the Census Bureau claims that a full 87 percent of young adults (ages 25-29) have completed high school.

. . . This would be fantastic news if it were true, but it isn’t.

The Census counts GED recipients along with high school graduates, even though “research shows that life outcomes for GED recipients are far closer to those of high school dropouts without GEDs than to those of true high school graduates.”

It also excludes people in institutional settings, such as prison.

Forster estimates that 70 percent of students earn a high school diploma; the rate for blacks is about 50 percent.

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Comments

  1. >”The Census counts GED recipients along with high school graduates, even though “research shows that life outcomes for GED recipients are far closer to those of high school dropouts without GEDs than to those of true high school graduates.”>”The Census counts GED recipients along with high school graduates, even though “research shows that life outcomes for GED recipients are far closer to those of high school dropouts without GEDs than to those of true high school graduates.”

  2. Look at the numbers for blacks. 80% vs 50%? What’s the liklihood of a black man with a high school diploma going to prison vs one w/o a hs diploma?
    There might be something significant there, but the data is too messy (inclusion of GED, probably some crossover in the prison population).

  3. A person who will be successful in life will do it with or without a high school diploma.

    A person who is going to spend their life in prison will do it with or without a high school diploma.