The UC analysis used a statistical model in which applicants were grouped into clusters based on their probability for admission, as determined by a slew of academic and demographic characteristics, including grades, SAT scores and parents’ education and income levels, among other factors.
Within each cluster, researchers predicted the number of students who would have been admitted, then calculated the total number of students who were actually admitted. The results were separated by ethnic group.
The results showed that, at most campuses, somewhat fewer Asian students were admitted than was predicted by the model. Also, more black and Latino students — and, in some instances, white students — were admitted than predicted.
The UC Berkeley model, for instance, predicted that 32.6 percent of white applicants would be admitted in the fall, whereas the actual admit rate was 32.1 percent — a difference of 60 students. Among Asian students, the predicted admit rate was 34 percent, but the actual admit rate was 32 percent, a difference of 219 students.
The disparities were larger at Berkeley among black and Latino students. According to UC’s prediction, 14 percent of black applicants should have been admitted, but the actual admit rate was 21 percent — a difference of 121 students; among Latino applicants, 24 percent were predicted for admission, and 27 percent were admitted — a 146-student difference.
Presented by Black Student Union President Stephanie Akpa, the list demanded that the black population of students, faculty and staff at UCSD each reach at least 7 percent to represent statewide demographics.
. . . The demands asked for the termination of black individuals’ “scrutinization, tokenization and eroticization by neutral and partisan entities on campus.”
If students are admitted to the University of California based on statewide demographics, tens of thousands of Asian-American students will have to be turned away. Statewide, 2.8 percent of black high school graduates and 3.8 percent of Hispanics are eligible for UC, compared to 12.7 percent of whites and 30 percent of Asian-Americans.